Attention: Farm Managers
Boost Farm Profit & Lower Risk With Better Forecasts
Harness artificial intelligence and data analytics to get insights that matter:
✅ Personalized Forecasts: Predictions for weather, production, pricing and profit specifically for your farm.✅ Grasp Uncertainty: Get a clear picture of both potential upsides and downsides, allowing you to prepare for every eventuality.✅ Optimize Your Decisions: Receive actionable recommendations designed to strike the balance between profit maximization and risk mitigation.
Ease Of Use
Get regular personalized insights with only 2 minutes of setup.
Higher Profits
Reach your profit goals using the best info, technology & advice.
Peace Of Mind
Sleep easier knowing the upside and downside of your decisions.
Dear Crop or Livestock Producer,Running a profitable farm business is hard.You have tight margins, tough decisions, complexity and uncertainty.Management decisions are often risky and complex, and the more they are, the more important they are.You're probably entering data into dumb spreadsheets or farm management software that sucks your time and gives little in return or worse, you are flying blind.You are not losing sleep about where you've been. You are losing sleep about where you business is heading. So looking backwards is backward. It is easy to lose lots for money.Risk lies in the extremes, not the averages. So why are you doing cash flow forecasts on averages.Or if you're like most, you are not doing cash flow forecasts at all because they mean nothing next week when weather and commodity prices are bouncing around like a yo yo.However, faulty decision making is as damaging to a farm business as faulty equipment, fertilizer or feed.You need to think strategically and through the ripple effects of your decisions.Make decisions with eyes wide open, instead of wondering and worrying. Take the stress out of the big impact decisions.The real difference of the top 20% of producers is that they make better decisions at the right time.You need a better business tool to succeed.AgForecast is for farmers who believe in enhancing intuition with evidence based decision tools.Our advanced analytics helps overcome cognitive biases that can lead managers to make irrational risk-management decisions.We help producers like you maximize profit and minimize downside risk using the best available data, software and advisers.We promise they you will get a 10x return on your time and money or we will refund your investment 110%.
Regards
Graeme Cox
Co-Founder
"The only truly sustainable competitive advantage is the ability to learn faster than your competition"
Jack Welsh, 'Manager of the Century'
Intelligent Forecasting
AgForecast delivers superior weather, production and commodity forecasts with probabilities, based on our unique data and cutting edge mathematical models. These models are built on historical, real-time and forecast data, delivered in a easy-to-use, cloud based platform.You can visualize the trade-offs between profit and risk with quantified probabilities and then optimize decisions.The suite of business tools is designed to improve the 50 highest value decisions you make per year, whether in buying, production or selling.The forecasting and optimization capabilities help you unlock additional profit hiding in the details.
We us algorithms and machine learning which combines data, mathematics, analytics and predictive modeling to produce customized recommendations designed to help growers farm more profitably with lower volatility.The customized recommendations provide specific advice for managing critical tasks that occur throughout the year.For crop farmers, the recommendations include what, where and when to plant, what nutrients, spray and irrigation to apply, when to harvest and when to sell.For livestock producers, the recommendations offer guidance on when and where to buy animals, what animals to breed, which paddocks to graze, when and what feed to buy and when to sell.We add value to farm decisions by removing human emotion and bias to produce optimal financial risk-adjusted returns on the capital used to farm.
Evidence Based Decision Making
AgForecast is partly inspired a billionaire who recommends using evidence based decision making tools:"Get control over your lower-level/animal you and put your better, higher-level decision-making brain in charge. What if you could unplug that lower part of your brain entirely and instead connect with a decision-making computer that gives you logically derived instructions, as we do with our investment systems?Suppose this computer-based decision-making machine has a much better track record than you because it captures more logic, processes more information more quickly, and makes decisions without being emotionally hijacked. Would you use it?In confronting the challenges I’ve faced in the course of my career I’ve created exactly such tools, and I am convinced that I would not have been nearly as successful without them. I have no doubt that in the years ahead such “machine-thinking” tools will continue to develop and that smart decision makers will learn how to integrate them into their thinking. I urge you to learn about them and consider using them."Ray Dalio - World's 58th Wealthiest Person
Founder of one of the world's largest hedge funds.
As Seen In*
*Thanks to OptiSurface, a module of Ag.Zone.
Features
Software Tools
AI optimization helps you continuously optimize your farm and your operations.
Adviser Network
Global network of advisers with proven local expertise train, coach and advise.
Farmer Network
Bench-marking, knowledge sharing, group buying and selling power and more.
Service Levels
Do It Yourself
Online training from the experts with online profit optimization software.
$
Done With You
Do it Yourself Plan PLUS online coaching and in-person workshops.
$$
Done For You
Experts do it all and provide you with insights and recommendations.
$$$
Products & Services
We ultimately aim to offer
AgCrop™
OptiPlan™
OptiSurface™
OptiPlant™
OptiFert™
OptiIrrigate™
OptiSpray™
OptiMarket™
AgStock™
OptiPlan™
OptiBuy™
OptiBreed™
OptiGraze™
OptiFeed™
OptiMarket™
OptiFreight™
AgFinance™
OptiTax™
OptiEquip™
OptiLoan™
OptiInsure™
OptiInvest™
OptiRetire™
OptiEstate™
The Difference Between average and Top farmers
AVERAGE FARMERS
Work IN their farm - Spend most of their time doing all the technical, low-value farm jobs.These farmers:
- Are too busy to take holidays with their family.
- Struggle to find good employees.
- Never have enough time to get everything done.
- Are unlikely to ever create real wealth.
- Are unable to survive the inevitable ups and downs of the farming industry.
TOP FARMERS
Work ON their farm business - Spend most of their time on high value jobs that maximize profit and continuously improve.These farmers:
- Have more freedom to take holidays, spend time with family or just plain relax.
- Have strong teams that work hard and actually enjoy coming to work.
- Are more productive and able to get more done in less time.
- Have lower costs which lead to higher profits (and more money to invest back in the farm).
- Can assess risks and better respond to inevitable bumps in the road.
Broadly, we use historical, realtime and forecast data such as weather, input prices and output prices etc to produce probabilistic forecasts of a farm's profit. We then use numerical optimization to provide recommendations on the best decision to balance profit & risk (profit uncertainty).Relevant to you, with Opti.Feed we will bring in feed availability, quality and prices daily to allow recommendations to growers on the the optimum type and volume of feed to purchase, etc.We predict your farm profit each night and then recommend decisions to improve it using big data & artificial intelligence.Agricultural Predictive Analytics – Various AI and machine learning tools are being used to predict the optimal time to sow seeds, get alerts on risks from pest attacks, and more."Just as farmers invest in inputs and machinery to grow and harvest crops, pasture and livestock, it is equally important to invest in and service the humans who are making the decisions."
Best-Bet farm decisions – Makeham, Halter and Dillon 1968
"He sees more value in using historical data to establish probabilities and then stress testing different scenarios.“If you need to make, say, $150 a hectare to cover your loans and other outgoings, you might find there’s a one in eight-year chance you won’t generate that much,” Nicholson continues. “You can then either factor this in to your calculations or look at ways of improving the odds – by changing your ratio of grains to livestock, for example. You can also consider a worst-case scenario, such as the poorest year happening three times in a row, and work out what you need to do to ensure you’d survive that.”
"“Farmers have survived volatility for 200 years and they’re very aware that risk is the only road to reward,” he says. “Risk is also a very personal thing, and the amount of risk you’re prepared to take will change over the course of your working life. We’re aiming to help farmers collect and process the information they need to make risk management decisions that are right for their age and their circumstances.”"
https://business.nab.com.au/a-new-approach-to-risk-management-2-9607/
What's your risk of ruin?https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riskofruin
Farm Financial Benchmark
To help you make better decisions and improve the profitability of your farm…We will deliver to you a Farm Financial Benchmark (FFB) that will give you a really clear picture of what your business currently looks like from a financial perspective and teach you how to create this report.Farm benchmarking is such a great tool to analyse the current business performance and help you to understand where the strategic opportunities for the business are. You will learn so much about the health of your business just by looking at the overall performance summary that comes from this benchmark.To generate the benchmark report, we look at assets (land, plant and livestock), liabilities, revenue, inventories, direct and overhead costs (including appropriate wage allocations for owners and family members), financing costs, profit and equity.We then use these numbers to generate a KPI scorecard specific to your farm across the following four categories – Solvency and Resilience, Profitability, Financial Efficiency and Repayment Capacity.The Farm Financial Benchmark requires 3 steps:1. Send us your financial information (most recent Profit & Loss statement).2. We interpret the information at our end and send you back a summary of assets and liabilities, business performance and Key Performance Indicators.3. Use what you learn from the Take Control Program to improve your KPIs which will lead to improved business performance and improved net worth.You will also be able to ask your peers and mentors in the online community what they are doing, and what else you can focus on to improve your profitability.The Farm Financial Benchmark includes 3 reports:1. A summary of assets and liabilities to understand your equity.2. We interpret the information at our end and send you back a summary of assets and liabilities, business performance and Key Performance Indicators.3. A list of your business KPIs, to help you determine how you are performing and what changes need to be made to improve. This is very valuable. Green means you are performing well and red tells you there is an issue (based on successful farms around the world).During the Take Control modules, you will learn more about the meaning of these KPIs and how to improve them. This will help you make the RIGHT decisions for your farming business.
TWELVE THINGS THAT 98 PERCENT OF COMMERCIAL AG PRODUCERS DON'T DO
1. Coordinated revenue: cost (margin) management and managerial/cost accounting
1. What if scenarios and sensitivity analysis, i.e., contingency planning
1. Monitoring and analysis
1. Accrual adjusted profitability analysis and changes in earned net worth
1. Autopsies
1. Benchmarking
1. The 80:20 Rule
1. The 5 percent rule
1. Analyzing what to stop doing
1. The E Myth principle
1. Open Communication
1. Strategic alliances, pooling arrangements and alternative business modelsALTERNATIVE FARM BUSINESS MODELS
Capturing economies of scale, reducing costs, improving asset utilization, accessing greater technical expertise, obtaining market accessManagement Companies, Service Bureaus, Joint Ventures, Allicances, Closed Cooperatives, Pooling, Collaborative Arrangements and Mergers Services, purchasing, marketing Older and younger farms Examples CFO and accounting services Risk management Input purchasing and contracting Exporting and importing Product and services advertising, marketing and sales (including contracting) Veterinary, nutritionist, and agronomic services Processing plants Fertilizer, fuel, grain storage and handling Feed mills Cold storage Repair shops Trucking Leasing Company Biofuels processing Self insurance/captive pools Machinery and equipment Genetics * Human resource management services
Flaw of Averages Trilogy
The Flaw of Averages, which states that plans based “average” assumptions are wrong on average, is a term coined by Dr. Sam Savage in 2000 to describe the systematic errors that occur when single numbers, usually averages, are substituted for uncertainties. The discipline of probability management helps cure this problem by communicating and calculating uncertainties as auditable data.https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/flaw-of-averages-trilogy
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BONUS FREE REPORT REVEALS
7 STEPS TO DOUBLE FARM PROFIT WITHOUT SPENDING A FORTUNE OR INCREASING RISK
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BONUS FREE FORECAST
GET A PERSONALIZED FORECAST OF YOUR FARM PROFIT AND THE RISK OF ACHIEVING IT EMAILED REGULARLY
Thanks For Your Interest!
We will email you soon.Regards
Graeme
Thank You!
Dear Farm Owner or Manager,Hi, I'm Graeme Cox, cofounder of Ag.Zone and Engineer at DAVCO Farming.For years my father struggled to make a profit farming. Working hard but not getting the progress, income and wealth he deserved.Then I started working with an uncle who thought differently and discovered the simple levers that the top farmers use to 10x their progress and really grow their wealth.Now my uncle has grown his business 10x, has a high profit margin and enjoys the fruits of his labor.The free report I have sent you shows the 7 levers that need to be optimized and how YOU can do the same. However the easiest way to optimize these 7 levers is via the Ag.Zone Forecast app we have developed.Try it and see how it can help you too.
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